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Trade Update GS Closing Feb 110115 Call Spread for 4x Original Premium Paid

Trade?

UpdateJan26th,2012at2:24pm?

WithGSup10%sincebuyingtheFeb110callsonJan13that1。

15,andthenspreadingthemintoaCallSpreadonJan18thbysellingtheFeb115callsat。

75(creatingaFeb110/115callspreadthatcost。

40)IamnowgoingtoselltheCallSpreadfor1。

65(stockref108。

93)。

Imade4xmymoneyandnowIthinktheeasymoneyhasbeenmadeandthemarketfeelsverytoppytomeatcurrentlevels,nottomentionGSisnoup20%ytd?

Whilethesentimenthasobviouslyshiftedfromglasshalfemptytohalffullinthissectorsincethestartoftheyear,anyhiccupsoutofEuropecouldseethebankstocksre-trace30%oftherecentmove?

Iamgoingtotakethemoneyandrunandlooktore-establishabullishstanceinthespaceatlowerlevels。

Trade?

UpdateJan18th,2012at2pm?

GSdidtheunthinkableandbeatQ4earningsexpectationsandtoldanokstorytoinvestors?

Thestockup7。

6%?

isfairly?

dramatically?

out-performingtheimpliedmoveofabitlessthan5%andthe4qtraveragemoveofonlyabout3%?

ASweheadintothecloseandBACexpectedtoreportQ4earningstomorrowmorningthataremorelikelytoresembleCitisfromyesterdaythanGSsfromthismorning,IwilllooktoturnmylongFeb110callsintoacallspread。

Withthestockat105。

10,IsoldtheFeb115callsat。

75?

NowIowntheFEB110/115callspreadfor。

40(Ipaid1。

15onFridayfortheFeb110calls,nowIjustsoldtheFeb115callsat。

75,soIamonlyrisking。

40

MyNewTrade(nottobeinitiatedasanewtrade,theoriginalcallpurchasewaslastweek)andBreak-EvensonFebExpiration?

LongtheGSFeb110/115CallSpreadfor。

40

-BoughtFeb110callfor1。

15onJan13th

-SoldFeb115callat。

75onJan18th

Break-EvenOnFebExpiration:

Profitsbtwn110。

45and115makeupto4。

60,maxgainat115orhighermakefull4。

60

Lossesbtwn110and110。

40loseupto。

40withmaxlossof。

40below110。

00

OriginalPostJan13th,2012?

NewTradeGS:IfTheFixIsInforBankStocks,ThenTheyMaySoonTestthePostThanksgivingHighs

WhileJPMisoutperformingtheimpliedmoveintheoptionsmarkettodayfollowingitsQ4earningsreport,thestockisstilltradingabovelastFridaysclose,whichinalotofwaysisfairlyimpressiveconsideringthestockhadrun10%in8tradingdaysintotheprint?

AsIoftensay,itappearsthattheFixISINforthebankstocks?

ThepriceactionisobviouslymakingittoughtoremainshortintoBAC,GS,CandMSsearningsnextweek?

MostofthesectorisdoingaprettygoodjobshruggingoffJPMsrevenuemiss,andthepathofleastresistancemaycontinuetobeup。

Additionally,onadaythathasbeenfilledwithrumorsofSPdowngradesforEuropeannations,thebanksappeartotakethisinstride?

TrustmeIamnotafanofthesestocksasinvestmentsuntilwegetthenextscareanddecline,butifthemarketisgoingtoshrugoffSPdowngradesandbankearningsarentasbadaspeopleexpect,wecouldseeacontinuationofthesectorrallynextweek。

IamnotlookingtoPlayGSforitsQ4reportnextweekonJan18th。

Theoptionsmarketisimplyingabouta5%movewhichisrichtoits4qtraveragemoveofabout3%?

GShasunder-performed(onlyup9%ytd)?

BACthisyrup19%andCup17%ytd?

Itcould?

definitely?

playsomecatchuponanotasbadaswethoughtreportand?

commentary,whichcouldsetthestageforabroadermoresustainedrally。

ThechartsetsupforamonstermovebacktothepostThanksgivingNovemberHighsandits200daymovingaverageontheslightbitofgoodnews。

1YrGSchartfromBloombergLP

NEWTRADE:

GS$98。

60BoughtFeb110callfor1。

15

Break-EvenonFebExpiration?

111。

15orhigherprofit,btwn111。

15and110loseupto1。

10andbelow110loseall1。

15

IDONTTHINKYOUHAVETOCHASETHESEHERE,ESPECIALLYINFRONTOFATHREEDAYWEEKENDANDTHERUMOREDSPDOWNGRADEOFSOMEEUROPEANCOUNTRIES?

THEREISAGOODCHANCETHATIFTHEMARKETANDGSARENTLOWERTUESDAYMORNTHATTHE(edit:PREMIUM)INOPTIONSWILLBECHEAPER。